AdventHealth 400 best bets: NASCAR odds, picks, predictions at Kansas

Kansas Speedway is the site of this weekend’s NASCAR Cup Series race. The AdventHealth 400 begins on Sunday at 3 p.m. ET on FS1.

BetMGM has Kyle Larson, Denny Hamlin, and Tyler Reddick as the favorites. Hamlin and Reddick won the two Kansas races in 2023, while Larson captured the checkered flag in the Fall 2021 race.

There’s no denying these drivers will have speed on Sunday, but there are other contenders for the AdventHealth400.

Below are my favorite betting picks for Cup Series racing at Kansas.

NASCAR Cup Series: Top odds to win AdventHealth 400

NASCAR Cup Series: AdventHealth 400 best bets

To win: Denny Hamlin (+450, BetMGM)

Denny Hamlin has been on a tear this season. Last week, he captured his third victory of 2024 after a late battle with Kyle Larson. I know it’s a short price, but Hamlin’s performance makes it justifiable.

Hamlin passed Larson on the final lap to win last year’s Spring race at Kansas. He would’ve won the playoff race if not for a late caution. Overall, he has three wins and seven top-five finishes in his last nine Kansas races.

If you look at high-speed 1.5-mile tracks since 2023, Hamlin hasn’t had a speed ranking worse than seventh in eight races.

The Toyotas have been tough to beat at Kansas. Hamlin is clearly the class of the Toyota camp and maybe the whole Cup Series field.

Tyler Reddick top-3 finish (+180, bet365)

Tyler Reddick enters Sunday’s race as the defending winner at Kansas. A late caution allowed him to pass Hamlin and score his first victory at the track.

Bad luck has struck Reddick at Kansas, but he’s led 23+ laps in three of the last four races at the track.

I like Reddick because of his performance in this year’s Vegas and Texas races. Reddick ranked second and first in total speed. Had things gone a little differently, he could’ve won both races.

I expect another strong showing at Kansas with a possible trip to victory lane.

Christopher Bell top-5 finish (+180, bet365)

Christopher Bell looked like an early-season championship contender but has fallen down the standings with four straight finishes outside the top 15. He desperately needs a good run, and it could come at Kansas.

If you take out a crash in last year’s Spring race, Bell has four straight finishes of eighth or better at Kansas.

There have been four races at Kansas in the Next-Gen era. Bell is No. 1 in overall speed across the four races. His total speed ranking has been fifth or better in every race.

The No. 20 team is capable of having top-five speed. If they can avoid the mistakes, they should produce a strong finish.

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Ty Gibbs top-10 finish (-135, bet365)

It’s a Toyota sweep for my best bets at Kansas, and it concludes with a top-10 finish for Ty Gibbs. Gibbs is on a similar trajectory to Bell, cooling off after a hot start to 2024.

He only has three Cup Series starts at Kansas. Gibbs looked competitive in last year’s spring race before a crash took him out of contention. Like Reddick, I’m backing Gibbs because of his speed at Las Vegas and Texas.

He ranked fifth in total speed in both races, finishing fifth at Vegas. Gibbs posted the seventh-best average running position before falling back late at Texas.

I know it’s a short price for a top-10 finish, but Gibbs should be a much bigger favorite. Back Gibbs to score his seventh top 10 of 2024.