Marlins vs. Dodgers odds, prediction: MLB picks, best bets for Tuesday

It took a little time to fully click into gear, but baseball’s super team is now firing on all cylinders offensively.

Looking for their sixth straight win and 12th in their last 14 games, the Los Angeles Dodgers host the Miami Marlins in Game 2 of the teams’ three-game series on Tuesday night.

Marlins vs. Dodgers odds

Marlins vs. Dodgers prediction

Over the last two weeks, the Dodgers have hit to a wRC+ of 155 and have averaged 6.35 runs scored per game.

They own a BB/K rate of 0.73, which even in a two-week sample is almost unheard of, and have hard-hit 35.9% of balls in that span.

Overall this season, they rank first in xSLG rate at .473 and first in xwOBA at .363.

Mookie Betts (+150, BetMGM) and Shohei Ohtani (+400) are the odds-on favorites in the National League MVP race, while the rest of the lineup has been as potent as expected.

Tuesday’s starter for the Marlins, Edward Cabrera, should trend to improved results moving forward.

He owns an ERA of 6.06, despite an xERA of 3.50 and an xFIP of 2.60.

He has stranded only 57.1% of 57.3% of base runners and has seen batters hit to an unsustainably high BABIP of .395. He owns a Pitching+ of 101.

Cabrera is yet to face an offense which ranks higher than 14th in wRC+ versus right-handed pitching.

So while his underlying results suggest improvement is on the horizon, it’s also important to consider he has been getting crushed by softer-than-average opponents thus far.

The Dodgers rank first in wRC+ to righties by a gigantic margin, with a mark of 138. The next closest rating is the Padres at 123.

It also doesn’t help Cabrera that he has been backed by a Marlins side that has been horrid defensively. The Marlins own a 28th-worst rating in defensive runs saved (minus-20).

Cabrera is going to prove to be a better-than-average starter this season.

For that reason, he is getting some market respect as his earned run line is set at 2.5 with equal odds each way.

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This sets up as a good time to fade Cabrera in that specific market though, because he will get a long leash in this spot given the state of the Marlins’ bullpen.

If Cabrera can pitch six innings without allowing three earned runs to the Dodgers, we will just have to tip our caps to him.

Pick: Edward Cabrera over 2.5 earned runs (-115, bet365, | Play to -120)