Jaguars vs. Bills odds, prediction: Full ‘MNF’ player-prop picks

It doesn’t get any better than two primetime games on Monday night.

The action gets started at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN with the 2-0 Bills hosting the winless Jaguars in an AFC clash.

After delving into the night’s first matchup, we’ve assembled our top player props for Jaguars vs. Bills on Monday night in Buffalo.

Best bets: Jaguars vs. Bills player props

Josh Allen anytime touchdown (-135 at DraftKings)

Allen is coming off a rare game where he failed to scamper across the goal line for a touchdown. 

Of the 19 games he played last season, including playoffs, there were only five times he didn’t score a rushing touchdown.

Moreover, during that span, there was only one instance when he had back-to-back games without scoring a touchdown on the ground.

Allen ran the ball just twice in Buffalo’s 31-10 victory over Miami in Week 2. His line did an excellent job protecting him as the Dolphins failed to register a sack on his 19 dropbacks.

While Allen is a quarterback who has never shied away from contact, it certainly helps if he’s not as banged up heading into a game. Having been a full-practice participant all last week, he enters Monday’s game fully healthy.

Buffalo is tied for fifth with four red-zone scoring opportunities per game, and considering the Bills have the third-highest run-play rate this season at 57.28%, their quarterback has a decent shot to get on the scoresheet.

Curtis Samuel under 16.5 receiving yards (-110 at BetMGM)

After starting 13 games last year with the Commanders and playing 56% of the snaps on offense, Curtis Samuel might have to settle for fewer opportunities with the Bills this season.

The eight-year veteran is behind Keon Coleman, Khalil Shakir and Mack Hollins on the depth chart and has only played 27% of Buffalo’s offensive snaps.

Given the Bills’ renewed commitment to running the ball, his opportunities are drying up.

Buffalo has been incredibly efficient on first down, as its 52.2% Success Rate is the second-highest in the league.

Thus, Buffalo can stay ahead of the chains and manage the game better. 

Betting on the NFL?

Unless there’s any injury to one of the Bills’ starting receivers, it’s difficult to see a scenario where Samuel gets opportunities for more targets. 

He’s stayed under 16.5 receiving yards in four of his last five games, and given his role in this Bills offense, I expect that trend to continue in Week 3.

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Michael Arinze handicaps most major sports for the New York Post. He’s cashed two 15-leg teasers in his betting career as well as a 12-leg parlay that included eight Little League World Series games. More recently, he accurately picked finalists in the 2024 European Championships and Copa America.