NBA
Knicks vs Heat Prediction and Picks for October 30 2024
The New York Knicks (1-2, T-2nd Atlantic) hit the road Wednesday for a visit to South Florida to play the Miami Heat (2-1, 2nd Southeast). New York was defeated by Cleveland on Monday night 110-104 and has lost two of its first three to open the season, as new players attempt to mesh with the returning regulars from last season. The Miami Heat defeated the Detroit Pistons 106-98 on Monday in a defensive battle, with Jimmy Butler scoring 23 points to lead the Heat. Miami is just a half-game behind first place Orlando in the Southeast division. New York will play without Precious Achiuwa and Mitchell Robinson. Miami does not have any players listed on its injury report.
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New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat Prediction
New York is shooting well but its defense needs to improve
New York is 15th in scoring with an average of 112.0 points per game and 16th in points allowed at 113.3 points per game. The Knicks are shooting 50.4% (2nd) overall and 37.6% (7th) from 3-point land. New York’s defense is allowing opponents to shoot 49.2% (29th) overall and 34.6% (9th) from 3-point land. New York is averaging 40.0 rebounds per game while allowing an average of 38.0 boards per contest.
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Jalen Brunson is New York’s leading scorer with an average of 23.0 points per game and Mikal Bridges is second with an average of 18.7 points per year. New York has three other players averaging double figures in scoring. Brunson is the dish leader with an average of 4.7 assists per game. New York averages 9.7 offensive and 30.3 defensive rebounds per game led by Karl-Anthony Towns with an average of 10.7 per game. Josh Hart is the leader in steals with an average of 1.3 per game and Ariel Hukporti is the rim protector with an average of 1.3 blocked shots per game.
Miami struggles to score but has a very strong defense
Miami is scoring an average of 106.0 points per game which is 29th in the NBA, but is allowing just 107.0 points per game which is fourth best. Miami is shooting 43.0% (22nd) overall and 34.8% (18th) from 3-point land. The Heat’s defense holds opponents to 41.7% (4th) shooting overall and 35.2% (11th) shooting from three-point land. Miami averages 42.7 rebounds per game and allows 52.3 boards per contest.
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Terry Rozier is the leading scorer for Miami with an average of 19.3 points per game while Tyler Herro is second with an average of 18.3 per game and Jimmy Butler is third with an average of 17.3 per game. Butler is the dish leader with an average of 6.7 assists per game. Miami averages 10.7 offensive and 32.0 defensive rebounds per game led by Bam Adebayo with an average of 8.7 boards per contest. Butler is the leader in steals with an average of 2.3 per game and Adebayo is the rim protector with an average of 1.3 blocked shots per game.
Best Bets for New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat
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Miami is not scoring or shooting that well but has one of the toughest defenses in the NBA holding opponents to an average only 107 points per game which is fourth best. The Heat are allowing opponents to shoot just 41.7% overall which is also 4th best. Miami gives up 35.2% shooting from behind the 3-point line which is a respectable 11th in the league. Miami has very balanced scoring with six players averaging between 10.3 and 19.3 points per game making it difficult to focus on any one player or two players to stop. New York has struggled defensively allowing 113.3 points per game and opponents are shooting 49.2% which is 29th in the NBA. New York has failed to cover the number in two of its first three to open the regular season.
Prediction: Miami Heat ML
Full-Game Total Pick
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The total has finished under in each of Miami’s last two games as well as in each of New York’s last two games. As mentioned previously, Miami is 4th in points allowed at 107.0 points per game and the Heat are 29th in scoring at 106.0 points per game. Dating back to last season the total has finished under six of Miami’s last nine games and in four of the last five games that Miami has played on its home court.
Prediction: UNDER
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