Connect with us

NBA

Missing piece in Wolves’ championship tilt… is now in New York: Early NBA overreactions

Published

on

Missing piece in Wolves’ championship tilt… is now in New York: Early NBA overreactions

The NBA season is back in full swing

While we may only be a couple of weeks into the new season, there’s enough data points to make (unnecessarily early) takeaways from what we’ve seen so far.

And so foxsports.com.au has below dived into some bold predictions, hot takes and general overreactions for the marathon season ahead.

Average of 9 LIVE Regular Season games per week plus the best of the NBA Playoffs, including every game of the NBA Conference Finals & NBA Finals LIVE on ESPN, available via Kayo New to Kayo? Get your first month for just $1. Limited time offer.

Timid Simmons a cause for concern? | 00:26

CELTICS VS THUNDER FINALS A FATE ACOMPLI

Yes, we see you Cleveland, who in fact has the best record in the NBA at 8-0.

But the two clear pre-season favourites from each conference, the Oklahoma City Thunder and Boston Celtics, look primed to face off in the June champion decider.

OKC’s 7-0 start is its best in franchise history, while all seven wins have been by double digits. The 7-1 Celtics, meanwhile, have won all bar one of their games by double figures, with their only losing coming in overtime to Indiana.

There’s almost a sense of inevitability about OKC and Boston being the last two teams standing, much like when the Golden State Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers met in four-straight NBA finals from 2015 to 2018.

Not only do the Thunder and Celtics have arguably more talented rosters than any other side including Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jayson Taytum being two of the top MVP contenders, they also have two of the best systems in the league.

And in a scary prospect for the rest of the NBA, neither are at full strength yet, with Kristaps Porzingis and Isaiah Hartenstein sidelined for the first several weeks of the season due to injury.

Perhaps injury is the only thing that can stop these teams from competing in the NBA Finals.

Although only further working in both Boston and Oklahoma City’s favour is the fact they boast two of the deepest rosters in the NBA, while also having the kind of flexibility and versatility that allows them to make all kinds of adjustments on both ends come the post-season.

Thunder remain undefeated, downing Spurs | 00:43

BUT SUNS BIGGEST THREAT TO THUNDER

If the New York Knicks can get things together, they’re arguably a bigger threat to the Celtics than the Cavaliers in the Eastern Conference — as good as Cleveland has looked.

Out west, however, there’s a scary force emerging — the Phoenix Suns.

The Suns always stood to be big risers in the west with a better run of health compared to last season along with a better roster and new coach.

Of course, this time last year, Phoenix was considered a top two team in the west after the acquisition of Bradley Beal, but the star guard was limited to 53 games due to injury and the team struggled to develop chemistry and momentum.

It’s not like last year was fail though, for the Suns won 49 games and finished sixth in the west — just two games behind the fourth-seeded Clippers.

The additions of Tyus Jones, Monte Morris and Mason Plumlee on minimum deals (an incredible roster manoeuvre) plus the re-signing of Royce O’Neale suddenly makes the Suns one of the most stacked rosters in the NBA despite having Beal, Devin Booker and Kevin Durant on maximum salaries.

New coach Mike Budenholzer is meanwhile one of the highest regarded in the NBA, having led the Milwaukee Bucks to the 2021 title, ironically against Phoenix.

Budenholzer has a coaching career win rate of over 60 per cent including guiding the Bucks to 58 wins, 51 wins, 46 wins, 56 wins (both shortened seasons) and 60 wins in his five seasons in charge.

Well, through seven games the Suns are 6-1 and have a top six defensive rating — an area they’ve long struggled in the Durant era.

It might be early days, but if there’s one team the Thunder would be nervous about, it’s Phoenix.

Spurs coach out with undisclosed illness | 00:40

WOLVES WORSE WITHOUT KAT

Outside of Anthony Edwards’ superstar rise, Minnesota’s point of difference last season was its size.

A three-headed monster centre rotation of Rudy Gobert, Karl-Anthony Towns and Naz Reid caused big problems to opposition and played a big part in the team’s run to the Western Conference Finals.

But the team went in a different direction this year after the bold trade that sent Towns to New York for Julius Randle and Donte DiVincenzo

Any team that makes such a big move generally needs time to figure things out, but the 4-3 Wolves just don’t have the same spark as last season — when they claimed their second-most wins in franchise history (56).

The hope would’ve been to improve their offence, which was middle-of-the-road last season, provide more flexibility with line-ups and perhaps give reigning Sixth Man of the Year Reid more court time.

Well, the Wolves are still an average offensive team, while their No. 1 rated defence from last season is now rated 13th. Meanwhile Reid is playing virtually the exact same minutes (24) as last season.

In other words, Minnesota has lost its greatest strength without getting gaining enough elsewhere to suddenly lack an identity and be mediocre across the board

You can’t detest Minnesota general manager Tim Connelly for trying to add more firepower to compete with the best teams in the league with the ultimate goal of winning a championship.

But for all of Towns’ detractors, he’s still one of the best bigs in the league and a top 20 or so player when fully firing. And you’d have to say the team he moved to has a better chance of winning a championship than his last stop.

Edwards inspires T-Wolves’ late win | 01:07

NOT EVEN JOKER CAN SAVE THE NUGGETS

Staying in the west, another team that was a genuine contender last season — and championship winner some 17 months ago — is now a shadow of its former self.

Despite Nikola Jokic’s dominance, the Denver Nuggets have problems everywhere, even if their 4-3 record doesn’t highlight major cause for concern.

Depending on if you’re glass half full or half empty, they could easily be 6-1, or 1-6, amid several close games — largely against lesser quality opponents.

In fairness, the Nuggets have looked better in recent games, but issues remain — particularly with their bench, overall depth and lack of shooting.

Additions Russell Westbrook and Dario Saric have struggled including Saric falling out of the rotation six games in, while young players like Peyton Watson and Julian Strawther haven’t yet taken the leap the team would be hoping for.

That’s before you get to patchy form from the stars including Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr., who flagged the front office could break up the core if things don’t work out this season.

Outside of Jokic, the main positive has been Christian Braun flourishing in the starting line-up.

But the team has never been more reliant on Jokic’s excellence, with three-time MVP ranked top five in the NBA in scoring (29.6 points per game), rebounding (12.6) and assists (10.3).

That can only get them so far, if Jokic doesn’t break down.

The ideal focus for Denver this year was to lessen the load on the starters to ensure they don’t run out of puff come the playoffs like last season, but Jokic through six games is playing a career-high 37.7 minutes per game.

If this team can’t get things together, Porter’s trade theory might just come true to ensure the Nuggets don’t waste Jokic’s prime.

Nikola Jokic. (Photo by Michelle Farsi/Getty Images)Source: Getty Images

GIANNIS TO REQUEST TRADE

Speaking of trade watches, none are bigger than Giannis Antetokounmpo and the situation in Milwaukee.

The Bucks have gotten off to a slow start this season and while they have definitely started to head in the right direction recently, it doesn’t change the fact back-to-back losses to the Cavaliers have Milwaukee sitting last in the Eastern Conference with a 1-6 record.

Even in their 114-113 loss to the undefeated Cavs, most concerning was the fact the Bucks got 75 points from Antetokounmpo and Lillard — and yet that still wasn’t enough.

The Bucks are clearly missing three-time All-Star Middleton, with coach Doc Rivers admitting after the first loss to Cleveland that he needed to “figure out” the bench rotation.

AJ Green popped off for 21 points to lead Milwaukee’s second unit in the second game against Cleveland, while Bobby Portis also had 21 points and 18 rebounds to play a strong supporting role alongside Lillard (36) with Antetokounmpo unavailable.

But once again, it still couldn’t get the Bucks over the top.

Going back to the loss of Middleton though, while obviously Milwaukee would be a better team with him on the court it wouldn’t solve the Bucks’ clear lack of athleticism, which is showing up in a big way on the defensive end in particular.

The Bucks have been gashed by smaller, zippy guards early in the season, with Coby White (35) and Cam Thomas (32) having plenty of success in games Milwaukee was expected to win.

Cavs crowd ERUPTS at Bronny’s 1st bucket | 00:34

There is some reprieve on the way, with games against the Jazz, Raptors, Pistons and Hornets on the horizon. But even those are no longer locks given Milwaukee’s struggles so far.

It all begs the question: not even four years removed from winning their first title, could the Bucks be forced to trade away the beloved superstar who delivered that championship to Milwaukee?

One Western Conference executive recently told Bill Reiter of CBS Sports that teams are “circling” and “hopeful” that will be the case.

Now, given what Antetokounmpo did for the franchise, let’s be clear that the only way a trade happens is if he asks for it and he is yet to explicitly do that.

But Antetokounmpo hasn’t helped quiet the noise — whether it was telling The Athletic last summer that “winning a championship comes first” or lightheartedly joking this pre-season that he could get traded if the Bucks don’t win the title.

Milwaukee has an ageing roster and a lack of draft capital and assets in general, which will make it increasingly hard to win a title in the future — let alone right now.

Maybe that means the end of Antetokounmpo’s time at Milwaukee.

It has been a tough start to the year for the Bucks. Luke Hales/Getty Images/AFPSource: AFP

SIXERS ARE CLOSER TO PLAY-IN CONTENDER THAN TITLE CONTENDER

Speaking of disappointing Eastern Conference teams, the Bucks are fortunate the 76ers have been just as poor to open the year — although at least they have more excuses.

But those are running out too with Paul George returning to the line-up and Joel Embiid on his way back too.

The biggest issue though is the fact the 76ers were supposed to have the luxury of being able to load manage both Embiid and George this season, with team president Daryl Morey telling ESPN they would keep the duo from playing in back-to-backs.

While it is hard to see Sixers completely diverting from that plan, they haven’t done themselves any favours by starting the year 1-5 with tough games against the Lakers and Clippers to come.

George’s delayed start to the season also meant the 76ers had to fight their way through teething issues in his debut game against the Suns as they tried to get him enough touches while also running the offence through rapidly rising guard Tyrese Maxey.

Add in other new additions in Andre Drummond, who is being leaned on heavily with Embiid sidelined, along with Eric Gordon and Caleb Martin and it isn’t necessarily surprising that the 76ers have started the season slow.

But given the question marks surrounding Embiid and George’s availability, it wasn’t something they could afford to do.

Maybe if they can make the playoffs it will all pay off should Embiid and George be healthy and ready to go. But the process is proving hard to buy into at the moment.

Joel Embiid hasn’t played yet this season. Mitchell Leff/Getty Images/AFPSource: AFP

HAWKS WON THE DANIELS-MURRAY TRADE

Well, obviously the Pelicans certainly couldn’t have forecast Dejounte Murray suffering a fracture left hand in his first game for the team.

Although given New Orleans’ injury woes in recent years it wasn’t exactly surprising.

But either way, as much as it made sense for the Pelicans to move on from Daniels, it is quickly becoming clear that he is going to be a key piece of Atlanta’s future.

In New Orleans Daniels was largely seeing playing time for his elite defence and even still his minutes fluctuated, largely because an at times inconsistent role meant he was unable to get into much of a rhythm on the offensive end.

A new beginning in Atlanta, however, has brought the best out of the Australian guard.

It has been a natural progression following his breakout Boomers campaign, with Daniels looking a far more confident version of himself on offence — whether he is cutting, setting screens or shooting the ball.

He is the perfect compliment for a high usage player like Trae Young, and that isn’t even mentioning the way his defensive instincts free the Hawks superstar up to focus on his strengths.

Daniels said ahead of the season that he wanted to make the first team All-Defense and he is well on his way to doing just that, leading the league in deflections and constantly proving a menace for some of the NBA’s best scorers when matched onto them.

Hall of Famer amazed by Daniels layup | 00:34

JOSH GIDDEY HAS A CAREER YEAR

It has been a rough few games recently from a shooting perspective, with Giddey going 1-for-8 from deep in losses to the Nets and Jazz.

But on the year Giddey has been much-improved, shooting a career-high 44.0 per cent from downtown — well up on his previous career-best of 33.7 per cent last season.

It isn’t as if he is attempting less 3-pointers either, averaging 3.6 this season compared to 3.0 in his final season with the Thunder.

Now, of course, there is going to be regression and that early production — especially on such a small sample size — isn’t necessarily going to sustain all season.

But still, it is not a stretch to suggest Giddey could record career-high numbers in points, rebounds and assists this season, surpassing the mark he set in his second year with OKC.

Giddey is already averaging 14.7 points (16.6 career-high), 7.1 rebounds (7.9 career-high) and 6.3 assists (6.4 career-high), with his rebounding and playmaking in particular looking impressive.

There is also the potential for Giddey to see even more on-ball usage given the Bulls shape as a potential seller at the trade deadline, although they have been solid to start the season.

But a 3-4 record in the Eastern Conference isn’t a lot to write home about given the Nets, who should be rebuilding, are 4-4 while the Cavaliers and Celtics have clearly separated themselves as the two best teams.

All of this is to say Giddey has made a productive start to his career at Chicago and there is every chance he could only become even more featured in the offence as the Bulls either move off someone like Zach LaVine at the deadline or look to get a better idea of what they have in the Australian before potentially offering him a new contract.

And given Giddey is playing for a new contract, he has every incentive to produce too.

Giddey still feeling the love in OKC | 00:19

IF THE LAKERS KEEP THIS UP… ANTHONY DAVIS MAY JUST WIN MVP

If MVP voters had to submit their ballot today, they’d be crazy to not have Anthony Davis’ name on it.

While usual suspects Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jayson Tatum have both been superb — and their teams’ records are slightly better — Davis has been on another level.

He leads the league in scoring with 32.6 points per game to go with 11.6 rebounds and while the knock on Davis has always been whether he can consistently produce at a high level, it seems like he has been empowered under new coach JJ Redick.

It isn’t a surprise either given Redick flagged in the pre-season that he wanted to make Davis more of a factor in the offence, getting the ball to him early and often in the paint and playing through the Lakers big man.

Although speaking to reporters after L.A.’s win over the Raptors last week, Redick said it wasn’t necessarily a case of just force feeding Davis at the expense of other players.

“It’s funny,” Redick said.

“Tonight, we ran a few things for him but it wasn’t like we featured him. It’s a testament to how we envisioned our offence. The ball is going to find our best players. We can certainly put guys in certain positions within our alignments and within our system to exploit their skills.

“But the ball is going to find AD if we play the way we want to play and then we always look for ways to feature him with a set call.”

As long as the Lakers keep winning and as long as Davis stays healthy, which admittedly has been an issue in previous seasons, there is no reason why he can’t put himself right in the conversation for the league’s greatest individual honour.

Anthony Davis has been unstoppable. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)Source: Getty Images

JAZZ TO CHALLENGE FOR THE NBA’S WORST RECORD

Now look, a team with Lauri Markannen is always going to be capable of winning plenty of games and Utah was able to pick up its first victory of the season against the Bulls on Tuesday despite being without Markannen.

But before that win things were looking really dire, with the Jazz dropping the first five games of the year by a combined 110 points after shooting 28 per cent from deep.

That mark easily ranked the worst in the league and given how important 3-point shooting is to offensive strategy in the modern NBA it is hardly surprising that Utah was struggling to stay competitive.

Of course, the Jazz aren’t going to be shooting this poorly all season but looking at the core pieces of this team outside of Markannen, it is about young guys like Walker Kessler, Keyonte George, Kyle Filipowski and Cody Williams finding their feet and taking the next step.

It is also about what draft pick they get come June next year and while there are plenty of other contenders for the worst record in the league — including the Wizards, Nets, Hornets, Pistons and Trail Blazers — the Jazz could realistically challenge them for it.

The Nets were supposed to be rebuilding this season but have enough firepower on offence, provided they don’t sell too many of their players, to win enough games.

The Hornets have looked sneaky good in spots led by LaMelo Ball while the Pistons and Trail Blazers have stayed competitive in some of their games while even winning a few others.

The Wizards, outside of back-to-back wins against the Hawks, probably look the most likely threat to the Jazz finishing with the worst record and as long as Markannen stays healthy you would have to think Utah will be able to win enough games.

But the way they started the season it is not out of the question.

Continue Reading