Chargers vs. Chiefs odds, prediction: ‘Sunday Night Football’ picks, best bets

The Chiefs keep rope-a-doping their way to victories.

Next, they need to snag a cover.

Kansas City is 5-7 against the spread this year and has failed to cover in four straight games.

The Chief line up to face the division rival Chargers as four-point favorites, although the line initially opened with Kansas City laying 6.5 points.

Coach Andy Reid’s group will look to get the offense rolling again, as its 5.2 yards per play is the 22nd-best mark in the NFL.

The Chiefs are also 24th in the league in yards per play in their last three games.

The Chargers won’t make it easy on them, boasting the league sixth-best defense, according to Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA).

Chargers vs. Chiefs odds

Chargers vs. Chiefs prediction

Kansas City doesn’t really go anywhere without a productive run game and running back Isiah Pacheco should get nearly a full workload Sunday after being limited in his return last Friday.

The Chargers profile as a better defense against the pass, as their run defense is ranked No. 15 in DVOA while their passing defense comes in at No. 5.

The Chiefs have fallen quite a bit on the DVOA rankings, dropping all the way to No. 11 after being in the top six for most of the season.

Los Angeles has risen to No. 8 in DVOA.

Whether their run game suffers without J.K. Dobbins is another question to solve for the Chargers, who may also be without rising rookie receiver Ladd McConkey.

The two injuries aren’t great news for the Chargers, but Gus Edwards and Kimani Vidal should fill in admirably at running back.

I’ve also been a seemingly blind believer in second-year receiver Quentin Johnston, who has had many nightmare games this year.

If McConkey doesn’t play, I’m buying the dip and targeting Johnston to go Over his receiving yards prop, as the Chiefs secondary has allowed 276.6 passing yards per game in their last three games, up dramatically from the 226 it was earlier in the year.

Betting on the NFL?

A big reason for this is their missing corner, Jaylen Watson, who went out in Week 7 with an ankle injury.

The Chargers are the bet at +4, but don’t be surprised to see the Chiefs win a squeaky one again.

PICK: Chargers +4 (-110, ESPN BET) | Quentin Johnston Over 35.5 receiving yards (-115, ESPN BET)

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.