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Betting tips for ‘Sunday Night Football’: Bengals at Giants

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2 months ago

October 13, 2024

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Betting tips for ‘Sunday Night Football’: Bengals at Giants

Oct 13, 2024, 08:00 AM ET

The last game of the Sunday Week 6 slate features Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals taking on Daniel Jones and the New York Giants. The Bengals enter Sunday night’s tilt coming off a close OT loss to the Baltimore Ravens after Evan McPherson missed a 53-yard game-winning kick. Meanwhile the Giants upset the Seahawks as nearly eight-point underdogs in Week 5 behind strong performances from Jones under center and rookie Tyrone Tracy Jr., who played in relief of Devin Singletary.

The line for this game opened at Bengals -3.5 earlier in the week and has since stayed the same ahead of kickoff, with the total sitting at 46.5 points.

Odds current as of publish time, courtesy of ESPN BET

Game lines

Spread: Bengals -3.5
Money line: Bengals (-195), Giants (+165)
Over/Under: 46.5

First-half spread: Bengals -2.5 (-120), Giants +2.5 (-110)
First-half moneyline: Bengals (-175), Giants (+135)
Bengals total points: 25.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
Giants total points: 20.5 (Over -120/Under -110)

The props

Passing

Joe Burrow total passing yards: 249.5 (Over -145/Under +115)
Burrow total passing TDs: 1.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
Daniel Jones total passing yards: 224.5 (Over +115/Under -145)

Rushing

Chase Brown total rushing yards: 44.5 (Over -105/Under -125)
Zack Moss total rushing yards: 44.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Jones total rushing yards: 34.5 (Over -105/Under -125)

Receiving

Ja’Marr Chase total receiving yards: 79.5 (Over Even/Under -130)
Tee Higgins total receiving yards: 59.5 (Over +105/Under -135)
Wan’Dale Robinson total receiving yards: 49.5 (Over -145/Under +115)
Darius Slayton total receiving yards: 49.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
Theo Johnson total receiving yards: 24.5 (Over -125/Under -105)
Andrei Iosivas total receiving yards: 24.5 (Over -105/Under -125)

Joe Fortenbaugh’s pick

Bengals -3.5 over Giants

The look-ahead line here was Cincinnati -5.5, so we’re getting the Bengals at a price that’s two points cheaper than last week. Ruminate on that for a second because I just upgraded my power number for Cincinnati after Joe Burrow and the Bengals offense posted 520 yards and 38 points on Baltimore’s defense. Cincinnati may be 1-4, but they have four one-score losses…and those losses have come by a combined 15 points. This is a good buy-low spot on the Bengals, who face a Giants team that is 1-14 straight-up in prime time with quarterback Daniel Jones under center.

Betting trends

Courtesy ESPN Research

The Giants have covered three straight games.
The Giants are 22-11 ATS as underdogs under Brian Daboll.
The Bengals are 18-9 ATS on the road since the start of 2021. Joe Burrow is 19-10 ATS in his career on the road (22-11 ATS including playoffs).
Daniel Jones is 1-13 outright in prime-time games (6-8 ATS).
Over the last decade, teams with 0-1 wins and 4+ losses are 2-12 ATS as road favorites (4-10 outright). However, the last two teams in that spot both covered the spread.
The Bengals are 1-2 outright as favorites this season, losing as 7.5-point favorites against the Commanders and Patriots.
Unders are 5-0 in Sunday night games this season, 31-10 in the last three seasons and 60-31-2 since 2019.