Bills vs Jets Prediction: Odds, Expert Picks, QB Matchup, Injury News, Betting Trends and Stats

Buffalo is firmly set as the No. 2 seed in the AFC, while New York is playing for pride and spoiler at this point in this season.

The Bills are 12-3 on the season and won three of the past four since the bye week and nine of the last 10 games. Buffalo scored 35, 42, 48, and 24 points since the bye week for the highest-scoring offense in that span (37.2 PPG). Buffalo beat New York 23-20 in Week 6 on Monday Night Football.

The Jets are 4-11 and 1-3 since the bye week and 2-10 over the last 12 games. New York has lost by 10 or fewer points in eight of its 11 losses this year and dropped four straight road games.

NBC Sports has all the latest info and analysis you need, including how to tune in for kickoff, odds from DraftKings, player news and updates, and of course our predictions and best bets for the game from our staff of experts.

Listen to the Bet the Edge podcast as hosts Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick provide listeners with sharp actionable insight, market analysis and statistical data to help bettors gain more information before placing their wagers.

Game Details and How to watch the Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets on Sunday

· Date: Sunday, December 29, 2024

· Time: 1:00 PM EST

· Site: Highmark Stadium

· City: Orchard Park, NY

· TV/Streaming: CBS

Want to check out the other games on the NFL schedule this week? We’ve got you covered right here on NBC Sports with all the matchup, venue, game-time, and TV/streaming info so you won’t miss any of the action!

Game odds for Jets vs. Bills

The latest odds as of Saturday courtesy of DraftKings:

Moneyline: Buffalo Bills (-455), New York Jets (+350)

Spread: Bills -9.5 (-110)

Total: 46.5

The spread has bounced between -9.5 and -10 in favor of Buffalo, while the total dropped from 47.5 to 46.5.

NBC Sports Bet Best Bet

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) likes Aaron Rodgers to go Under 33.5 pass attempts versus Buffalo:

“Why? Why would Aaron Rodgers need to throw 34-plus times on a 4-11 team with one game remaining after this?

New York should be focused on draft position and if Rodgers is the QB for next year, preserving his health in a season that ended weeks ago.

Buffalo will win and should be leading 90% of the game, while most people won’t debate that and it sets up a stellar script for the Jets passing game, New York has running backs and youth.

I expect Breece Hall and Braelon Allen to receive large workloads down the final two-game stretch. Rodgers threw 42 times last week and the offense scored 9 points.”

Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets team stats, betting trends

• Buffalo is 9-6 ATS and 4-3 ATS at home.
• New York is 5-10 ATS, ranking tied for fourth-worst.
• The Jets are 3-4 ATS on the road and 1-1 ATS as a road dog.
• New York is 8-6-1 to the Over and Buffalo is 9-6 to the Over.
• The Bills are 5-2 to the Over as the home team.
• The Jets are 5-1-1 to the Over as the road team.
• Aaron Rodgers has five touchdowns and no interceptions over the last three games.
• Josh Allen has 11 combined passing and rushing touchdowns over the last three weeks.
• Breece Hall had 90 total yards on 19 touches last week.
• James Cook has at least 100 rushing yards in three of the past four games and five touchdowns in that span.
• Davante Adams has scored in four straight games and has five touchdowns overall in that span on 30 receptions.

Quarterback matchup for Buffalo vs. New York

Buffalo: Josh Allen – Allen is the leading MVP candidate with 38 total touchdowns (26 passing, 11 rushing, 1 receiving) and only six interceptions. Allen has 3,549 passing yards (10th) and the second-best QBR (76.8). Allen has six rushing touchdowns and nine passing touchdowns in the previous six games.

New York: Aaron Rodgers – A-Rod has 24 passing touchdowns to eight interceptions on the year to go along with 3,511 passing yards and a 62.8 completion percentage. Rodgers has five touchdowns to zero interceptions over the past three games.

Bills and Jets injury update

Buffalo’s DT Jordan Phillips (wrist) and OL Tylan Grable (groin) are out, while LB Matt Milano (biceps), CB Rasul Douglas (knee), WR Curtis Samuel (ribs), and DB Taylor Rapp (neck) are questionable among a plethora of other players.

New York’s OL Tyron Smith (neck), LB C.J. Mosley (neck), K Greg Joseph (abdomen), and OL Zack Bailey (back) are out, while DE Solomon Thomas (knee), DB Chuck Clark (shin), and DE Quinnen Williams (hamstring) are questionable.

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Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)

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