Browns vs. Giants odds, spread, line, time: 2024 NFL picks, Week 3 predictions from proven computer model

The Cleveland Browns (1-1) will try to get above the .500 mark this season when they host the New York Giants (0-2) on Sunday afternoon. Cleveland bounced back from a season-opening loss to Dallas with an 18-13 win at Jacksonville last week. New York is aiming for its first win of the campaign after losing to Minnesota and Washington. This is the first meeting between these teams since 2020, when the Browns picked up a 20-6 road win. 

Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at Huntington Bank Field. The Browns are favored by 6.5 points in the latest Browns vs. Giants odds, while the over/under is 38.5 points, per SportsLine consensus. Before entering any Giants vs. Browns picks, you’ll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 187-130 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 41-22 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model has set its sights on New York-Cleveland. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for the game:

• Browns vs. Giants spread: Browns -6.5
• Browns vs. Giants over/under: 38.5 points
• Browns vs. Giants money line: Browns -282, Giants +230
• Browns vs. Giants picks: See picks here

Why the Browns can cover

Cleveland had one of the worst performances in the league to open the season, falling to Dallas in a 33-17 final. The Browns were 1.5-point favorites in that game, but quarterback Deshaun Watson finished with 169 passing yards and two interceptions while completing just over 50% of his passes. He had a much cleaner performance in Week 2, completing 22 of 34 passes for 186 yards in an 18-13 win over Jacksonville. 

The Browns have one of the top defenses in the NFL, and they are facing a lackluster New York offense. The Giants failed to score a touchdown in a 28-6 loss to Minnesota before getting outgained by more than 120 yards in their loss to Washington. Cleveland has covered the spread in six of its last seven home games, while New York only has one win in its last nine road games. See which team to pick here. 

Why the Giants can cover

New York put together a much more competitive effort in Week 2, even though it was a road game against a team with an exciting rookie quarterback. Giants quarterback Daniel Jones completed 16 of 28 passes for 178 yards and two touchdowns, with rookie wide receiver Malik Nabers accounting for 10 catches and 127 yards. Nabers appears poised to become an elite NFL wide receiver, which is exactly what New York’s offense needs. 

Running back Devin Singletary is coming off a solid performance as well, rushing 16 times for 95 yards and a touchdown. Cleveland gave up 33 points to Dallas in its opener and allowed the Jaguars to go over 300 yards last week, so that unit has not met expectations thus far. The Giants have covered the spread in six of their last nine games dating back to last season, and they are a large underdog against a struggling quarterback. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Browns vs. Giants picks

The model has simulated Giants vs. Browns 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Cleveland vs. New York on Sunday, and which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Giants vs. Browns spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 187-130 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.