NBA
Knicks vs Hawks Prediction and Picks for November 6 2024
Old foes will face off for the first time in this new season. The New York Knicks (3-3; 3-3-0 ATS) and Atlanta Hawks (3-5; 1-7-0 ATS) have a date at 7:30 p.m. EST. State Farm Arena is the site for Wednesday’s showdown. Last season, the Knicks took both games in Atlanta. Can they continue torturing Hawks fans?
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Who will win this Eastern Conference clash? Keep reading to see our Knicks vs. Hawks prediction.
New York Not Clicking Yet
The Knicks entered this season with their loftiest expectations in a long time. A 3-3 start hasn’t been the best way to ring it in. On the final stop of this road trip, New York will try to get back on track. This team needs to get more stops, as they’re only 19th in defensive rating right now. New York plays at the league’s slowest pace, so their 109.0 points allowed (7th) is slightly misleading. Their opponents are shooting 48.8% (27th) and no team has been worse at forcing misses within five feet of the hoop. The Knicks also allow a lot of threes although they’ve benefited from foes only hitting 34.2% (10th) of them. This year’s defense is 22nd in turnover rate. It isn’t all bad, as New York ranks seventh in defensive rebounding rate and is the best team at keeping opponents off the free throw line. Will their weak rim protection sink a promising ship?
On the other end of the floor, only two teams enter Wednesday with a better offensive rating. The Knicks, led by Jalen Brunson and the newly acquired Karl-Anthony Towns, average 112.8 points per game (16th). Thanks to the best three-point percentage and sixth-highest free throw percentage, New York is eighth in true shooting percentage. Their offensive rebounding rate had dropped to 18th, well off last year’s finish as the best. In exchange, the Knicks have the seventh-lowest turnover rate. Can the offense continue to pressure opposing defenses?
Key Injuries – Precious Achiuwa (out); Cameron Payne (questionable); Mitchell Robinson (out)
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Atlanta Amid Rough Stretch
Looking at the Hawks’ current record, it may be a bit surprising that they started 2-0. Since that strong start at home, they’ve dropped five of six, including three consecutive home contests. Looking to recover, Atlanta is also in pursuit of a tougher defense. They’re 27th in defensive rating and allowing 121.9 points per game (28th). The Hawks have only held one team to 115 or fewer points. Atlanta surrenders the most three-point attempts per game and is the worst team at forcing misses from deep. These Hawks are also 21st in defensive rebounding rate and 21st in free throw attempts allowed. They’re a top-10 team at forcing turnovers. That’s one of the few strengths. Do they have any solutions to this dreadful stretch of defensive basketball?
Atlanta has an All-Star point guard and averages the 10th-most points per game, 115.3. The league’s third-fastest pace helps them, as the Hawks are merely 18th in offensive rating. They’re also coming off their worst performance of the season, a 93-point dud at home. Trae Young is piloting this offense to the fifth-most free throw attempts per game. Atlanta is 11th in free throw percentage, ninth in rim efficiency, and 21st in three-point efficiency. The Hawks are 22nd in turnover rate and 17th in offensive rebounding rate. Let’s see if they shake off their miserable Monday night.
Key Injuries – Bogdan Bogdanovic (out); Kobe Bufkin (out); De’Andre Hunter (questionable); Vit Krejci (out)
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Best Bets for New York Knicks vs. Atlanta Hawks
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Atlanta’s defense relies on turnovers to get stops. Otherwise, they’re bleeding points constantly because of the league’s worst three-point defense. Well, the Knicks have been the seventh-best team at protecting the rock and the NBA’s best squad at hitting threes. Their offense, which is third in offensive rating, will dominate.
The Hawks have been decent offensively, but against a New York defense that doesn’t send foes to the free throw line, they’ll lose a solid chunk of scoring. Atlanta also has sloppy ball security. The Knicks clean up missed shots, so the Hawks will have to shoot incredibly well to keep this a game. Based on Monday night, that’s a lot to ask. Take the Knicks to beat the spread.
Prediction: New York Knicks -8
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Along with the fact that Atlanta will counteract New York’s slow pace, both of these teams have been much more formidable offensively. The Knicks are 19th in defensive rating and the Hawks are 27th. Although Atlanta has let seven of their eight opponents exceed 115 points, they’ve crossed the same threshold six times.
New York’s NBA-best 41.4% clip on threes will thrive against a Hawks defense allowing the most three-point attempts and the highest three-point percentage. Atlanta is sixth in rim attempt percentage and ninth in rim efficiency against a Knicks defense that’s the worst at forcing misses at the rim. Expect a shootout and bet on the over.
Prediction: Over 225.5
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