Mets vs. Dodgers prediction: NLCS Game 3 odds, picks, bets

After a torrent of runs at Dodger Stadium, the Mets and Dodgers can resume the NLCS at Citi Field in Wednesday’s Game 3 with a more modest line on the total.

When I say Citi Field didn’t offer a high stock of BACON this season, I’m not referring to the inventory of its concession stands: In 2024, the ballpark ranked as a bottom-five venue amongst the 30 in the stat that measures Batting Average on Contact, which also incorporates home runs, according to Statcast. 

In the two games played at Citi in the NLDS, the Mets limited Philadelphia’s capable offense to three total runs.

Granted, a majority of that lineup utterly crumbled in that series, but there’s still some credit given to a Mets pitching staff that maintained a 2.78 ERA.

After three consecutive shutout victories, the Dodgers’ battered rotation finally caught up with them, allowing a six-run frenzy to the Mets in the opening two frames in Game 2.

With sharp action on the Under of 7.5 runs for Game 3, you can expect Walker Buehler to reel it in for Los Angeles with the series lead on the table. 

Buehler has four previous seasons of playoff experience under his belt, including the 2020 World Series run, when he delivered a 1.80 ERA in five starts.

He now seeks a rebound from a sloppy road start in the NLDS where the Padres hit him for six earned runs in five innings. 

There are certainly no complaints on behalf of Luis Severino’s postseason contributions thus far.

The revitalized 30-year-old gave the Mets bang for their buck on his one-year deal all regular season and hasn’t shown postseason regression.

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Severino has walked only two hitters in the 12 innings he’s dedicated throughout his two playoff starts.

Mets fielding can compensate for the balls that Severino allows hit into play; it leads the postseason in putouts and double plays finished. 

Following a day’s rest and both clubs pivoting to stable options in their respective rotations, we can look for more defensive responsibility at this stage in a championship series. 

THE PLAY: Under 7.5 (bet365, +100).

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.