Mets vs. Red Sox prediction, odds: MLB picks, best bets Tuesday

The Red Sox remain just out of arm’s reach of a wild-card spot and are priced as a +450 long shot to make the postseason at BetMGM, but make no mistake: 2024 has been all positives in Boston.

The Sox came into the year with little to no expectations around them and have taken their various roster challenges and used them to create opportunity.

Boston lead MLB with a .318 batting average on balls hit in play entering Monday’s action, before struggling to mount much offense in a 4-1 loss.

Much of that can be attributed to surgent campaigns at the plate from Rafael Devers, who is crushing the baseball with a career-high exit velocity of 93.6, and Jarren Duran — the unlikely All-Star MVP whose speed has made for 13 triples and eighth-most stolen bases at 32.

Alex Cora gives the ball to Kutter Crawford for their Tuesday evening clash with the Mets, who despite falling short of the Sox in both on-base and slug percentage, are favored at Citi Field.

Crawford’s recent woes also play a role in the lines here. He has taken a loss in three straight starts, though has retained a 3.71 ERA in that span.

The four-year Boston veteran has served as an anchor for the rotation, notching a career-high in wins and innings pitched.

He has done this by conjuring more confidence in his arsenal that features the ever-so-rare knuckle curve.

According to Statcast, Crawford is eliciting chases at a rate that lands him within the top seven percent of pitchers.

David Peterson and his 2.83 ERA are due for some serious regression: He owns an expected ERA, which takes quality of contact and overall command into play, of 5.15.

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The Mets just returned home after a long road trip that ended with a three-game snooze against the horrid White Sox.

Boston’s bats and poised pitching are primed to hit the wake up alarms versus a Mets team that is getting overvalued in a tight matchup.

THE PLAY: Red Sox (+115, bet365)