Packers vs. Bears, Chiefs vs. Bills prediction: NFL Week 11 odds, picks

Post sports gambling editor/producer and digital sports editor Matt Ehalt is in his first season in the NFL Bettor’s Guide. 

Green Bay Packers (-5.5) over CHICAGO BEARS

The Bears are a mess right now, and their owners — the Packers — come to town to feast off their bye week.

The Packers have won 10 straight against the Bears, with Chicago’s last win coming in 2018.

It’s hard to believe the Bears are ready to end that streak. 

Caleb Williams is struggling and some teammates reportedly want him benched.

Also, they are installing a new offensive coordinator after Shane Waldron was apparently “too nice.”

It feels like Chicago’s season is about to spiral out of control, and facing a rested Jordan Love won’t help the issue.

Green Bay should be able to win by two field goals on the road, adding another humiliating chapter to the one-sided rivalry. 

Kansas City Chiefs (+2.5) over BUFFALO BILLS

Bet against Patrick Mahomes at your own risk.

Mahomes is 11-3 straight up as a betting underdog since 2018 and has pulled the outright upset in five straight situations, including earlier this year at San Francisco.

Coincidentally, his last loss as an underdog came to the Bills in 2022. 

We like the Chiefs here since they are equipped to stop Buffalo’s rushing attack, ranking third in rushing yards allowed per game.

Betting on the NFL?

The Bills also are dealing with injuries to their pass catchers, which could complicate their efforts if they can’t run the ball effectively. 

This is also the hardest remaining game on the Chiefs’ schedule, meaning they can actually start entertaining a 17-0 season should they win.

Last week: 1-1. Steelers (W), Vikings (L)
Season: 7-13