Peter Pan guide: Get odds, analysis, PPs for Belmont prep

Kentucky Derby 2024 may be over, but a busy spring and summer is just getting started for this crop of 3-year-olds.

A field of eight passed the entry box for Saturday’s Grade 3, $200,000 Peter Pan Stakes at Belmont at the Big A, although only six are expected to run in the traditional prep for the Belmont Stakes. Tuscan Gold was re-routed to the Preakness Stakes, and Lonesome Boy will go in the Long Branch Stakes on opening day at Monmouth Park.

The Peter Pan goes as the sixth of 11 races at Aqueduct, and post time is scheduled for 3:08 p.m. EDT. The race will be shown live on FS2.

Check out Horse Racing Nation’s free past performances page for downloadable PPs for the Peter Pan and more, courtesy of our partners at Brisnet.

We also have Super Screener picks and analysis for the Peter Pan as well as recent top speed figures for each contender.

Peter Pan best speed figures

Looking at the pace

Lonesome Boy was projected as the principle Peter Pan Stakes speed, but the role may fall to Antiquarian following scratches. The Wine Steward should be in the next flight, just ahead of main rival Deterministic.

The pace projector appears courtesy of TimeformUS.

HRN picks for the Peter Pan

This week’s Super Screener has picks for the Peter Pan as well as the Mamzelle Stakes at Churchill Downs, where long shot Twirl Around is the top value play in a race oozing with price opportunities, per Super Screener’s Mike Shutty.

“(Twirl Around) has moved forward in each last two starts and is making her second start off the 90-day layoff. Form-cycle analysis is revealing that she will advance by 3-5 points over last last start, which puts her right in the winner’s circle. This turf course at this distance is favoring forwardly placed types, and as the top-rated presser, that works to Twirl Around’s advantage. She is a very strong win pick.”

Get the Super Screener Preakness and Belmont package now for just $57.

Ed DeRosa’s Peter Pan fair odds see The Wine Steward as a viable alternative to likely favorite Deterministic.

J. Keeler Johnson also is eager to see The Wine Steward get back in action, as he explains in his latest Horses to Watch column.

Matt Shifman is adding to the chorus with his Peter Pan analysis as he prefers the consistency of The Wine Steward vs. the unpredictable Deterministic.

Churchill Downs TV analyst Kaitlin Free joined the Ron Flatter Racing Pod to review Kentucky Derby 2024 while looking ahead to the Preakness Stakes.

Here’s the field for the Peter Pan (G3):

Post	Silks	Horse / Sire	Rating	Trainer / Jockey	Last Start / Next Start	HRN
1		Protective Medaglia d’Oro	0.00	Todd A. Pletcher Irad Ortiz, Jr.	3rd, 2024 Wood Memorial G2	8-1
Last Race		3rd, 2024 Wood Memorial G2
2		Unique Insight Gun Runner	4.79	Chad C. Brown Eric Cancel	1st, Aqu AlwOC (4/12/24-R2)	8-1
Last Race		1st, Aqu AlwOC (4/12/24-R2)
3		The Wine Steward Vino Rosso	6.08	Michael J. Maker Luis Saez	2nd, 2024 Lexington G3	5-2
Last Race		2nd, 2024 Lexington G3
6		Antiquarian Preservationist	5.91	Todd A. Pletcher John R. Velazquez	6th, 2024 Louisiana Derby G2	6-1
Last Race		6th, 2024 Louisiana Derby G2
7		Deterministic Liam’s Map	6.52	Christophe Clement Joel Rosario	8th, 2024 Wood Memorial G2	5-1
Last Race		8th, 2024 Wood Memorial G2
8		Native Land Mastery	0.00	Riley Mott Junior Alvarado	1st, KEE AOC (04/10/2024-R7)	12-1
Last Race		1st, KEE AOC (04/10/2024-R7)