Week 14 NFL player props: Predictions and picks for the entire Sunday slate

Bye weeks are nearing an end in the NFL as we head into Week 14.

Props have been a slightly better than a 50/50 endeavor this year; season-long bettors are profiting 5.25 units, and we have a 22-21 record.

It’s not ideal, as even a profiting year is still the worst I’ve had since 2020.

We head into Week 14, looking at some higher-profile players to snag some victories both in long shots and over/under.

As seemingly always, Bet365 has the best odds on the betting market by far on long-shot props.

Week 14 NFL player props

Tyrone Tracy Jr. over 62.5 (-113, ESPN BET) | 150+ rushing yards (17/1, Bet365)

The Saints’ run defense stinks, they are ranked No. 32 in the NFL, according to FTN’s defense-value adjusted over average (DVOA) run defense.

You should be wagering this one as follows, one unit on over 62.5 rushing yards, with another half unit spread out between the alternate overs, .25 unit on 100+ (+425) and .2 units on 125+ +1060 (FanDuel) and then top it off with a .05 unit bet on Tracy at 150+.

He’s eclipsed 100 rushing yards in two of his last three games, including 145 rushing yards against a tough Steelers defense on Oct. 28.

The New Orleans run defense is such a plus matchup that you could see an explosion from him on Sunday.

Justin Jefferson over 83.5 receiving yards (-110, Fanatics) | 175+ receiving (14/1, FanDuel) | 10+ receptions (+650, Hard Rock)

DVOA battles Pro Football Focus this weekend, as the Falcons are rated No. 5 in coverage for PFF while DVOA has them at No. 23.

They haven’t exactly passed the eye test at multiple times this year, and they’ve allowed wide receivers to eat to the tune of the fourth most fantasy points allowed to opposing receivers this season.

Atlanta also allows the fourth most receptions to opposing receivers.

Invest about 1.25 units on these three wagers as this game could easily become a shootout before long.

Cooper Rush over 1.5 rushing attempts (-135, DraftKings) | 5+ (12/1, Bet365)

He’s not effective at running, but that doesn’t mean a cash isn’t possible for this prop.

Rush’s last two games as a starter, he’s had four rush attempts for one total net yard and five attempts for zero yards.

Just because he isn’t good at it doesn’t mean he won’t try, and there’s no one worth trying against than the Bengals.

Betting on the NFL?

The Bengals allow the second most rushing yards per game (34.25) to opposing quarterbacks in the NFL and the most attempts per game (6.83).

Kneel downs would also count for this prop, so by betting this for “Monday Night Football,” you’re also hoping for a shootout where the Cowboys get a few kneel downs to ice it.

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.