Gambling
Week 7 NFL player prop predictions, picks: Best bets for Sunday’s slate
Week 7 arrives in style with 12 games for our betting pleasure.
Here, we dive into the obscure and vast player prop market.
There are hundreds of player props to choose from in each game.
We went through them all and had the best of the best to choose from for this week’s Sunday slate.
Week 7 NFL player props picks
Geno Smith over 11.5 rushing yards (-110, DraftKings) | 40+ (11/1, DraftKings)
The low end of these props, AKA the main line, has hit for me at an incredible rate, so make sure you bet on the front side to cover your loss of the alt line.
Geno Smith has been running a lot this year and has cleared the front side of this line in three of fives games, while nearly eclipsing 40 in two of them.
Betting on the NFL?
Smith ran for 72 yards against the Giants two weeks ago.
The Falcons are allowing the most rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks (37.83 per game) and the second-most rush yards per attempt (7.5).
Atlanta’s defense isn’t good, so if Smith chooses to run he can top 40.
This one really just comes down to motivation.
Ja’Lynn Polk over 17.5 receiving yards (-110, DraftKings) | 75+ (17/1, Bet365)
Betting on the London game can often be a crapshoot, but if anyone watched Drake Maye perform last week you should be impressed.
I have a lot of respect for the Texans defense. They have one of the best units in the NFL.
The same will never be said about this Jaguars team, which has the lowest DVOA for defense.
Polk received the second-most targets for the Patriots last week and is much too talented to be phased out of this offense.
Maye and Polk should look to form a bond that lasts decades.
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.