Yankees vs. Mariners prediction: MLB picks, odds, bets Wednesday

It’ll be a Nestor Cortes-Bryce Miller mound rematch when the Yankees and Mariners meet Wednesday in Seattle. 

Cortes pitched to a 7-3 victory in The Bronx on May 22.

But if there’s any theme to follow with the Yankees southpaw this season, it’s the polarizing splits between his home and away numbers. 

Something about the unfamiliar has affected Cortes’ command as he walks more and strikes out fewer, leading to a road ERA that’s 1.70 higher than at home. 

Much like the Yankees, the Mariners are stingy swingers and therefore have collected bases with the fourth-most walks in the majors.

From there they can steal, with three players having snagged 20-plus bases. 

Seattle’s lineup had been underwhelming in total but has made a push down the stretch: It led MLB with a .292/.375/.483 slash line and an 8-3 run leading into this series.

However, the Yankees took the first game Tuesday behind strong games from Juan Soto and Aaron Judge in an 11-2 win aided by an early base-running mistake by Victor Robles.

The Mariners are within arm’s reach of a playoff spot — they’re three games behind the Twins for the final spot — because they boast MLB’s No. 1 rotation (3.54 ERA).

His multifarious arsenal of seven pitch types couldn’t fool New York in the last meeting, allowing for a season-high of three home runs in six innings.

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Contrasting Cortes favorably, Miller is one of the most dominant home pitchers, sporting a 1.99 ERA at T-Mobile Park. 

Miller spearheads the group ranking No. 6 overall in Stuff+, which measures the physical characteristics of pitches such as release point, movement and velocity. 

THE PLAY: Mariners moneyline (+106, FanDuel)

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Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk.